We compare several representative sophisticated model averaging and variable selection techniques of forecasting stock returns. When estimated traditionally, our results confirm that the simple combination of individual predictors is superior. However, sophisticated models improve dramatically...

Does morality in business affect investors’ choice of stocks? Building on the source preference literature, we propose a novel measure of moral stock preference and offer a nested model relating it to social preference, attention to corporate social responsibility (CSR), and belief bias. We...

We combine two approaches to the pricing kernel, one empirical and one theoretical, which relax the restriction that the objective return distribution and risk neutral distribution share the same volatility and higher order moments. The empirical approach provides estimates for the evolution of...

This study investigates the low-price effect on the Polish stock market. By adopting sorting, cross-sectional tests and checks of the monotonic relation, we have examined the performance of the portfolios formed on the prices of over 850 companies listed on the Polish stock market within the...

Individual investors trade excessively, sell winners too soon, and overweight stocks with lottery features and low expected returns. This paper models a financial innovation to address these biases and improve individual investor performance. Individual investors pledge shares of stock to an...

In this paper we consider the question of how to improve the efficacy of strategies designed to capture factor premiums in equity markets and, in particular, from the value, quality, low risk and momentum factors. We consider a number of portfolio construction approaches designed to capture...

This paper investigates the relationships among cross-sectional stock returns and analysts' forecast revisions, forecast dispersion and momentum. Market rewards the strategy in pursuit of revision up and away from revision down by 22.7% per annum over the 1983-2015 periods. I find that the...

We document an annual cycle in the U.S. Treasury market, with variation in mean monthly returns of over 80 basis points from peak to trough. This seasonal Treasury return pattern does not arise due to macroeconomic seasonalities, seasonal variation in risk, cross-hedging between equity and...

We present an experiment that investigates the effect of the fee structure and past returns on mutual fund choice. We find that subjects pay too little attention to the (periodic and small) operation expenses fee, but the more salient front-end load is used as a commitment device and leads to...

In this paper we argue that momentum profits are driven by both past performance and the relative proximity to an available reference point, the 52-week high. We construct momentum-style portfolios that are driven strictly by past returns which we call ‘run' based measures, and compare these...