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We examine how the language used by central bank officials in public press conferences influences stock returns in the euro area. In line with the concept of Odyssean Forward Guidance, we find that using constraining language to express policy commitment increases the effectiveness of Forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829731
We examine the effects of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) gradually introduced by the European Central Bank from September 2014 onwards. Studying the short-term reaction of financial markets after APP press releases, we analyse the development of bond yields and spreads around these releases....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065
We examine the impact of Bank of Canada communications and media reporting on them on Canadian (short- and medium-term) bond and stock market returns using a GARCH model. Communications are rather uniformly distributed over the sample period (1998–2006); however, media coverage is particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980577
This paper studies the effects of FOMC communication on U.S. financial markets’ returns and volatility using a GARCH model over the period from 1998 to 2006. We build a new data set that includes information on all FOMC speeches, post-meeting statements, monetary policy reports and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864447
This paper investigates whether interbank network topology influences the impact of monetary policy announcements on bank cumulative abnormal returns (CAR's). Although recent studies have emphasized the channels of non-conventional monetary policy actions and the sensitivity of bank stock prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843874
This paper proposes an approach to study the expected excess return of a long-term bond and focuses on a lower bound. This lower bound is a crucial number, as it represents the minimum expected excess return demanded by investors. The derived bound is model-independent and can be extracted from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937301
Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Federal Funds target rate changes and FOMC communication on emerging equity market returns and volatility over the period 1998–2006. First, both types of news have a significant impact on market returns. Second, target rate changes are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852244
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) conducts an unconventional monetary policy that includes exchange-traded fund (ETF) purchases, which can be expected to affect aggregate equity indices. As equity ETF purchases represent a unique and exceptional monetary policy framework, there are few studies on how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013393632
This paper examines the trading behavior of members of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). We calculate the financial market returns of FOMC members relative to the overall market and examine if there is any evidence of abnormal returns. We also test whether FOMC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403334
We make three points. First, the decade before the financial crisis in 2007 was characterized by a collapse in the yield on TIPS. Second, estimated VARs for the federal funds rate and the TIPS yield show that while monetary policy shocks had negligible effects on the TIPS yield, shocks to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009298368