We examine the relationship between analysts' stock recommendations and cash flow forecasts, and whether these recommendations and cash flow forecasts provide investors with useful information to identify mispriced securities. In doing so, the paper contributes to the ongoing debate regarding...

This paper shows that analyst recommendations aggregated at the country level predict international stock market returns. A trading strategy based on past country-level recommendations yields an abnormal return of around 0.9 percent per month. Aggregate analyst recommendations also predict...

Researchers have struggled to find rational risk factors that explain momentum profits derived from buying prior winners and shorting prior losers. Behavioral explanations have been offered that focus on tendencies of investors to underreact to news and recommendations. Our study provides an...

Classic agency theory predicts that analysts selectively provide coverage and report their expectations. This paper examines empirically if incremental investment value can be uncovered from analysts' choice between silence and speech, measured as the level of reporting not explained by size or...

This paper examines abnormal stock returns around the publication of 1,167 reports issued by 26 brokerage firms on 37 small caps admitted to listing on the Italian stock market from 2003 to 2011. The focus is on small caps going public because, for such firms, information asymmetries may be...

We study the tournament behavior of sell-side analysts under proper timing and show that a strong non-monotonic relationship exists between analysts' relative forecasting performance early in the tournament and their later deviations from consensus. Given that the highest performers earn...

This study examines the responses of investor sentiment and stock market returns to announcements of changes in analyst recommendation as well as the effect of these announcements on the relationship between sentiment and stock returns. Investor sentiment is more sensitive to upgrade...

Measuring the information environment of firms using analyst (price) forecast bias and forecast dispersion before listing, we empirically examine the interactive influence of the information environment and market-wide sentiment on the initial returns of initial public offerings (IPOs). We find...

This paper examines short sales transaction volumes on the first trading day of 610 initial public offerings (IPOs) from 2011 to 2015. The tests provide evidence of informed trading immediately at the IPO. Results reveal that short selling volume on the first trading day of the IPO is...

Using hand-collected information, we find that analysts who own stock in a company they follow make more informative recommendations and exert more effort in covering the company. However, we also find that analysts with stock ownership issue more optimistic target price forecasts. These...