In this paper we derive the measure of position-unwinding risk of currency carry trade portfolios from the currency option pricing model. The position-unwinding likelihood indicator is in nature driven by interest rate differential and currency volatility, and highly correlated with global...

This study investigates an efficient parametric portfolio policy model to improve the return distribution of the well-known currency carry trade investment strategy. This carry trade strategy invests into high-yielding currencies that are subsequently funded by low-yielding currencies. Following...

This paper addresses the predictive ability of currency volatility risk premium - the difference between an implied and a realized volatility - over US dollar exchange rates using a time series perspective. The intuition is that, when risk aversion sentiment increases, the market quickly...

In this paper, the effects of the US stock market returns, exchange rate changes and volatilities on stock market volatilities in 10 emerging market economies between 2000-2013 (also two sub-periods covering the time between 2000-2007, and between 2008-2013) have been analysed with separate 30...

Within the scope of this paper, causalities of the US stock market returns and volatilities on stock market volatilities in Group of 7 (G-7) economies between 2000-2013 have been analysed with Granger causality tests. All volatilities are obtained from conditional variance of returns in stock...

The term "carry" has been primarily studied and explored within currency markets where, contrary to the uncovered interest rate parity, borrowing from a low interest rate country and investing in a high interest rate country has historically delivered positive and statistically significant...

This paper examines exchange rate exposure of country level stock returns in three emerging market economies: Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The analysis is carried out at country level using stock indexes and trade-weighted exchange rates. Time-varying exchange rate exposure coefficients are...

We introduce a new meaure of risk appetite in financial markets, based on the cross sectional behavior of excess returns. Turning them into probabilities through a Markov Switching model, we define one global risk appetite measure as the cross-sectional average of the individual probabilities...

Oil is perceived as a good diversification tool for stock markets. To fully understand this potential, we propose a new empirical methodology that combines generalized autoregressive score copula functions with high frequency data and allows us to capture and forecast the conditional...