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-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the dynamics in the S&P 500. First, we aggregate the weekly information of 115 …
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regression methods to combine forecasts comparable to the dynamic factor predictive model such as the forecast combination method …
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This paper investigates the relationships among cross-sectional stock returns and analysts' forecast revisions …, forecast dispersion and momentum. Market rewards the strategy in pursuit of revision up and away from revision down by 22 …-2015 periods. Revision up and revision down betas account for most of the momentum strategy and over half of forecast dispersion …
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macroeconomic forecasts are optimistic than non-optimistic, and whether this difference in analyst forecast optimism is stronger …. We also find that the long-horizon earnings forecast dispersion is lower in periods when the long-horizon macroeconomic … is no recession and macroeconomic forecast is optimistic are likely to have opportunistically biased their long …
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