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U.S. stocks' response to inflation surprises is, on average, robustly negative. Stocks' response to positive inflation … surprises shows much more pronounced time-series variability than their response to negative inflation surprises. In our sample …, stocks react significantly to positive inflation surprises only when there is a contemporaneous change in monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236131
I establish that inflation risk is priced in the cross section of stock returns: Stocks that have low returns during … inflationary times command a risk premium. I estimate a market price of inflation risk that is comparable in magnitude to the price … of risk for the aggregate market. Inflation is therefore a key determinant of risk in the cross section of stocks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752802
Background: Hedging against inflation assumes instruments such as gold, stocks, fixed income securities, and real … estate. There still exists a lack of appropriate strategy to hedge against inflation. Objectives: This paper examines the … possibilities for hedging against inflation in Croatia offered by the Zagreb Stock Exchange indices. Methods/Approach: Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325399
This study evaluated the relationship between inflation and infrastructure sector stock returns in emerging markets in … inability of infrastructure sector returns in emerging markets to hedge inflation. Similar results were obtained when the … inflation-hedging capacity of real estate and general listed equity was assessed. This suggests the existence of significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219374
This study investigates the reaction of stock returns to the inflation announcement using time series data from 2012 to … 2018. To check the market efficiency or semi-strong efficiency of the Indian Stock Market for inflation announcement, we … have used an event study methodology. We selected nine events based on consensus estimate and actual inflation number; we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219559
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the time-varying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
We show that at-the-money implied volatility of options on futures of 5-year Treasury notes (Treasury ‘yield implied volatility') predicts both the growth rate and volatility of gross domestic product, as well as of other macroeconomic variables, like industrial production, consumption, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854000
The returns to housing are particularly important because this asset class makes up such a large fraction of household wealth. Yet they are not straightforward to calculate given both the heterogeneity in homes and the fact they sell only infrequently. We outline a methodology for constructing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037181
Small businesses tend to be owned by wealthy households. Such entrepreneur households also own a large share of U.S. stock market wealth. Fluctuations in entrepreneurs' hunger for risk could therefore help explain time variation in the equity premium. The paper suggests an entrepreneurial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317587
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the timevarying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426