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We examine the relationship between analysts' stock recommendations and cash flow forecasts, and whether these recommendations and cash flow forecasts provide investors with useful information to identify mispriced securities. In doing so, the paper contributes to the ongoing debate regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971089
In this paper, we forecast industry returns out-of-sample using the cross-section of book-to-market ratios and investigate whether investors can exploit this predictability in portfolio allocation. Cash-flow and return forecasting regressions show that cross-industry book-to-market ratios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968901
Purpose: In this paper we try to explain US stock market variations and cash flow fundamentals by employing three different book-valued based ratios, First, we explore the explanatory capacity of the simple book-market ratio on time-varying expected returns, and procced on altering its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281276
This paper reviews research that uses big data and/or machine learning methods to provide insight relevant for equity valuation. Given the huge volume of research in this area, the review focuses on studies that either use or inform on accounting variables. The article concludes by providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433769
Following the Global Settlement, analysts extensively use a top pick designation to highlight their highest conviction best ideas. Such a designation enables analysts to provide greater granularity of information, but it can potentially be influenced by conflicts of interest. Examining a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301460
We examine the information transmission role of stock recommendation revisions by sell-side security analysts. Revisions are associated with economically insignificant mean price reactions and often piggyback on recent news, events, long-term momentum, and short-run contrarian return predictors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095874
An analysis of about 300000 earnings forecasts, created by 18000 individual forecasters for earnings of over 300 S&P listed firms, shows that these forecasts are predictable to a large extent using a statistical model that includes publicly available information. When we focus on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490078
We constructed forecasts of earnings forecasts using data on 406 firms and forecasts made by 5419 individuals with on average 25 forecasts per individual. We verified previously found predictors, which are the average of the most recent available forecast for each forecaster and the difference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895745
Earnings forecasts can be useful for investment decisions. Research on earnings forecasts has focused on forecast performance in relation to firm characteristics, on categorizing the analysts into groups with similar behaviour and on the effect of an earnings announcement by thefirm on future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326351
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723028