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Using weekly stock-bond correlations estimated with high-frequency data, the authors find that a lower (more negative) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970361
Using weekly stock-bond correlations estimated with high-frequency data, the authors find that a lower (more negative) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10 -year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960036
This paper proposes a two-state Markov-switching model for stock market returns in which the state-dependent expected returns, their variance and associated regime-switching dynamics are allowed to respond to market information. More specifically, we apply this model to examine the explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034502
Using weekly stock-bond correlations estimated with high-frequency data, the authors find that a lower (more negative) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903913
With the accelerated financialization of energy, the spillovers between energy and financial markets is becoming an important issue. This paper compares the characteristics of spillover effects between China and the US markets using the method of generalized variance decomposition due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309270
The market value of the Chinese stock market is considerably large given its short history. However, unlike stock market in other countries, we notice a unique phenomenon in China that investors usually chase after hot topics wherever aroused by policies, technologies or many other issues. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924804