It is well-known that stock prices fluctuate far more than dividends. Traditional valuation methods are not able to depict this fact. In this paper we incorporate excess volatility into a simple DCF model by considering an autoregressive cash flows process with random coefficients. We show that...

Introduction: A Stochastic Approach to Discounted Cash Flow -- Basic Elements: Cash Flow, Tax, Expectation, Cost of Capital, Value -- Corporate Income Tax: WACC, FTE, TCF, APV -- Personal Income Tax -- Corporate and Personal Income Tax -- Proofs -- Sketch of Solutions.

It is well-known that stock prices fluctuate far more than dividends. Traditional valuation methods are not able to depict this fact. In this paper we incorporate excess volatility into a simple DCF model by considering an autoregressive cash flows process with random coefficients. We show that...