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Climate physics predicts that the intensity of natural disasters will increase in the future due to climate change. One of the biggest challenges for economic modeling is the inherent uncertainty of climate events, which crucially affects consumption, investment, and abatement decisions. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753266
Climate physics predicts that the intensity of natural disasters will increase in the future due to climate change. We present a stochastic model of a growing economy where natural disasters are multiple and random, with damages driven by the economy's polluting activity. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438060
Climate economics has been criticized for ignoring uncertainty, catastrophic changes, and tipping points (Stern 2016). The present paper addresses these issues. We consider multiple climate shocks which are recurring, random, uninsurable, and potentially large. The associated damages and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857735
Relying on a standard formulation of dynamic models of pollution abatement, we propose a competition among countries committed to maximize their respective welfare without any form of agreement. When there exists a threshold level for the stock of pollution above which a catastrophe occurs, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111357
In March 2015, a new international blueprint for disaster risk reduction (DRR) has been adopted in Sendai, Japan, at the end of the Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction (WCDRR, March 14 - 18, 2015). We review and discuss the agreed commitments and targets, as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299221
The climate change impacts on sea level rise and coastal disasters, and the possible adaptation responses have been studied using very different approaches, such as very detailed site-specific engineering studies and global macroeconomic assessments of costal zones vulnerability. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225975
The analysis of catastrophic and climate impacted hazards is a challenging but important exercise, as the occurrence of such events is usually associated with high damage and uncertainty. Often, at the local level, there is a lack of information on rare extreme events, such that available data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426201
In this paper we developed and tested an integrated methodology for assessing direct and indirect economic impacts of flooding. The methodology combines a spatial analysis of damage to physical stocks with a general economic equilibrium approach using a regionally-calibrated (to Italy) version...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010413612
From March 14 to 18, representatives of 187 state governments and around 6,500 delegates from inter- and non-government organizations, UN entities, academic and private sector institutions gathered together to debate a new international agreement on disaster risk reduction (DRR), one that would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025481
Central America and the Caribbean is one of the most hazard-prone regions in the world. In addition, the region is heavily affected by poverty, unemployment, critical management of natural resources, and urban conglomeration in capital cities, especially in the Small Island Developing States,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189322