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regime driven by the exchange rate and a third one with inflation targeting. The result is a CVAR with constant long … framework, inflation dynamics in Mexico since the country abandoned the gold standard. The model encompasses known results … parsimonious, it does not require inflation lags nor dummy variables. It also displays a very good pseudo out-of-sample forecasting …
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Understanding and predicting the evolution of exports after a change in the nominal exchange rate is of central importance in international economics. Most of the literature focuses on estimating this relationship by reduced form, with the aim of uncovering a single structural parameter, but...
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Under fixed exchange rates, fiscal policy is an effective tool. According to classical views because it impacts the real exchange rate, according to Keynesian views because it impacts output. Both views have merit because the effects of government spending are asymmetric. A spending cut lowers...
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