This chapter describes the main impact evaluation methods, both experimental and quasi-experimental, and the statistical model underlying them. Some of the most important methodological advances to have recently been put forward in this field of research are presented. We focus not only on the...

This chapter describes the main impact evaluation methods, both experimental and quasi-experimental, and the statistical model underlying them. Some of the most important methodological advances to have recently been put forward in this field of research are presented. We focus not only on the...

Military spending has impact on social and economic conditions of any economy. Though, there has been mixed response found for the increasing military expenditure and economic growth in many countries. In this study attempt has been made to examine relationship between military expenditure and...

The aim of this paper is to study from a causal inference standpoint the impact of the presence of B&Bs on the housing market at the municipal level, in 2018. In particular, the main variables of interest are the average house price and the penetration rate of Airbnb. The analysis is carried out...

This paper presents semiparametric estimators of distributional impacts of interventions (treatment) when selection to the program is based on observable characteristics. Distributional impacts of a treatment are calculated as differences in inequality measures of the potential outcomes of...

In this paper we propose a test for a set of linear restrictions in a Vector Autoregressive Moving Average (VARMA) model. This test is based on the autoregressive metric, a notion of distance between two univariate ARMA models, M0 and M1, introduced by Piccolo in 1990. In particular, we show...

In the present study, we propose a simple test approach based on the work of Breitung and Candelon (2006), which allows us to test for asymmetric predictability at a pre-specified frequency. The test approach can also be used to test for causality in cointegrated systems, as illustrated by...

This paper presents the first analysis of the life course outcomes through late midlife (around age 55) for the participants of the iconic Perry Preschool Project, an experimental high-quality preschool program for disadvantaged African-American children in the 1960s. We discuss the design of...

This paper builds an innovative composite world trade cycle index (WTI) by means of a dynamic factor model to monitor and perform short-term forecasts in real time of world trade growth of both goods and (usually neglected) services. The selection of trade indicator series is made using a...

The goal of this research is to determine whether the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Turkey is stable over time. For this purpose, causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Turkey has been investigated by means of annual...