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The precise consequences of climate change remain uncertain. We incorporate damage uncertainty into a joint model of climate and the economy, an integrated assessment model. First, both the science and the integrated assessment community analyze uncertainty by means of sensitivity analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081380
We present a modification of the most commonly used integrated assessment model (IAM) of climate change (DICE-2016), AD-DICE2016, which is designed to address three key aspects of climateeconomy models: treatment of uncertainty, the use of more appropriate utility functions, and including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510301
Global economic convergence and protection of the climate are both worthwhile goals. Yet, there is an inherent tension between them. Greenhouse gases are a waste product that is often emitted in the production process. Limiting such emissions therefore hampers the accumulation of income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661102
Global economic convergence and protection of the climate are both worthwhile goals. Yet, there is an inherent tension between them. Greenhouse gases are a waste product that is often emitted in the production process. Limiting such emissions therefore hampers the accumulation of income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695872
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900819
In this paper we show that both climate models and economic models studying the effects of climate change are characterized by high uncertainty. Hence, far reaching policy implications such as the net zero goal lack a definite scientific foundation. Neverthelss, it cannot be excluded that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053416
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009729156
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526312
This survey examines the history and current practice in integrated assessment models (IAMs) of the economics of climate change. It begins with a review of the emerging problem of climate change. The next section provides a brief sketch of the rise of IAMs in the 1970s and beyond. The subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025275
In this paper we characterize the preferences of a pessimistic social planner concerned with the potential costs of extreme, low-probability climate events. This pessimistic attitude is represented by a recursive optimization criterion à la Hansen and Sargent (1995) that introduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336553