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This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
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the accuracy of their forecasts. In this paper, we estimate the economic impacts of the official hurricane forecasts in …-landfall federal protective expenditures exponentially increase with the forecast wind speed and with the degree of uncertainty about … to establish the social value of improving hurricane forecasts. On the margin, the value of hurricane information is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426083
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Why have policies aimed at reducing the demand for carbon not succeeded in slowing down global carbon extraction and CO2 emissions, and why have carbon prices failed to increase over the last three decades? This comment argues that this is because of the Green Paradox, i.e. - (the anticipation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528868
Chapter 1: Introduction -- Chapter 2: International oil markets and the need for accelerated decarbonisation -- Chapter 3: How much oil shall we need anyway? -- Chapter 4: Will the need for energy security derail the energy transition? -- Chapter 5: OPEC+ and energy transition -- Chapter 6: Is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558551
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This study represents the first attempt at an integrated approach to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on the national economy of South Africa via a number of (but not necessarily all) impact channels. The study focuses on outcomes by about 2050. The results show the multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511214
is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
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