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The use of social media to detect corporate fraud : a case study approach
Xiong, Feng; Chapple, Larelle; Yin, Haiying - In: Business horizons 61 (2018) 4, pp. 623-633
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883632
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Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
Baron, Jonathan; Mellers, Barbara A.; Tetlock, Philip E.; … - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 11 (2014) 2, pp. 133-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382759
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Hidden experts in the crowd : using meta-predictions to leverage expertise in single-question prediction problems
Wilkening, Tom; Martinie, Marcellin; Howe, Piers D. L. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 1, pp. 487-508
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821209
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Do experts or crowd-based models produce more bias? : evidence from Encyclopedia Britannica and Wikipedia
Greenstein, Shane M.; Zhu, Feng - In: Management information systems : mis quarterly 42 (2018) 3, pp. 945-959
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919648
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The contingent wisdom of dyads : when discussion enhances vs. undermines the accuracy of collaborative judgments
Minson, Julia A.; Mueller, Jennifer S.; Larrick, Richard P. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 64 (2018) 9, pp. 4177-4192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921508
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Extracting the wisdom of crowds when information is shared
Palley, Asa B.; Soll, Jack B. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 65 (2019) 5, pp. 2291-2309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039760
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Boosting the wisdom of crowds within a single judgment problem : weighted averaging based on peer predictions
Palley, Asa B.; Satopää, Ville A. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 69 (2023) 9, pp. 5128-5146
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014392893
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Forecasting elections with mere recognition from small, lousy samples: A comparison of collective recognition, wisdom of crowds, and representative polls
Gaissmaier, Wolfgang; Marewski, Julian N. - In: Judgment and Decision Making 6 (2011) 1, pp. 73-88
We investigated the extent to which the human capacity for recognition helps to forecast political elections: We compared naive recognition-based election forecasts computed from convenience samples of citizens' recognition of party names to (i) standard polling forecasts computed from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008835323
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Prediction Markets versus Alternative Methods. Empirical Tests of Accuracy and Acceptability
Graefe, Andreas - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009434635
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Prediction markets for economic forecasting
Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2012
Prediction markets - markets used to forecast future events - have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their utilization by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283631