predicted effects of overconfidence. These studies assume, however, that a specific type of overconfidence, i.e., miscalibration …-established miscalibration bias. We find no gender differences in overconfidence for our measures except for one, where women are more … overconfidence and linked to the judgment literature in psychology. Empirical tests of the models often fail to find evidence for the …

salient perturbations, we propose a strategic foundation of overconfidence. Since overconfident statements are used in …

Overconfidence is one of the most ubiquitous cognitive bias. There is copious evidence of overconfidence being relevant … overconfidence. Cognitive uncertainty represents a decision maker's uncertainty about her action optimality. We present a simple … model of overconfidence based on the concept of cognitive uncertainty. The model relates the concepts theoretically and …

on the well-established "miscalibration" bias. We find no gender differences in overconfidence for our measures except … for one, where women are more overconfident than men. -- overconfidence ; miscalibration ; signal perception ; cognitive … overconfidence and linked to the judgment literature in psychology. Empirical tests of the models often fail to find evidence for the …