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Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
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This chapter reviews Bayesian methods for inference and forecasting with VAR models. Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for simulating from the posterior distribution of the parameters and special attention is given to the implementation of the...
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application-oriented, this self-contained text will help students develop a deeper understanding of theory and better command of … VAR Models -- 13. Forecasting with VAR Models -- 14. Interpretation of VAR Models -- 15. Co-integration -- 16. The Kalman …
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