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This paper examines the causal relationships between the real house price index and real GDP per capita in the U.S., using the bootstrap Granger (temporal) non-causality test and a fixed-size rolling-window estimation approach. We use quarterly time-series data on the real house price index and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007411
density forecasts between the linear and non-linear models. Finally, in a dynamic 25-step ex-ante and interval forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036560
Lag (ARDL)-bound test model. The empirical results indicate a significant evidence of cointegration. Indicatively, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107815
Demographic and institutional elements as important drivers of the housing market should not be neglected since it is not only financial and monetary elements that matter in the case of the housing market. In this context, one relationship, which still remains unclear, is the relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011924575
The recent boom in house prices in many countries during the Covid-19 pandemic and the possibility of household financial distress are of concern among some central banks. We revisit the empirical modelling of house prices and household debt with a policy-oriented perspective using Norwegian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800701
potentially increase the likelihood of having more children. By doing a cointegration analysis of housing, income, and fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493891
empirical part consists of a cointegration analysis with an error correction mechanism from the mid 80s until 2005. We are able …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002995
This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and …, however, is affected by German reunification and relative factor prices no longer play a significant role. The forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744528
We bring together some recent advances in the literature on vector autoregressive moving-average models creating a relatively simple specification and estimation strategy for the cointegrated case. We show that in the cointegrated case with fixed initial values there exists a so-called final...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316827
The concept of cointegration (see e.g., Engle and Granger, 1987; Johansen, 1988) has extensively been used to model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285865