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This paper examines the causal relationships between the real house price index and real GDP per capita in the U.S., using the bootstrap Granger (temporal) non-causality test and a fixed-size rolling-window estimation approach. We use quarterly time-series data on the real house price index and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007411
Lag (ARDL)-bound test model. The empirical results indicate a significant evidence of cointegration. Indicatively, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107815
potentially increase the likelihood of having more children. By doing a cointegration analysis of housing, income, and fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493891
This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and …, however, is affected by German reunification and relative factor prices no longer play a significant role. The forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744528
empirical part consists of a cointegration analysis with an error correction mechanism from the mid 80s until 2005. We are able …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002995
We bring together some recent advances in the literature on vector autoregressive moving-average models creating a relatively simple specification and estimation strategy for the cointegrated case. We show that in the cointegrated case with fixed initial values there exists a so-called final...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316827
The concept of cointegration (see e.g., Engle and Granger, 1987; Johansen, 1988) has extensively been used to model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285865
of comparable VAR that fails to recognize that the system is characterized by cointegration. I use Monte Carlo simulation … knowledge of cointegration rank. Furthermore the results indicate that a cointegration modeling of credit risk should be favored …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622096
of comparable VAR that fails to recognize that the system is characterized by cointegration. I use Monte Carlo simulation … knowledge of cointegration rank. Furthermore the results indicate that a cointegration modeling of credit risk should be favored …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789941
Based on recent evidence of fractional cointegration in commodity spot and futures markets, we investigate whether a … futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770