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In this paper we show the validity of the adaptive LASSO procedure in estimating stationary ARDL(p,q) models with GARCH … innovations. We show that, given a set of initial weights, the adaptive Lasso selects the relevant variables with probability … variables beforehand. Finally, we show that the LASSO estimator can be used to construct the initial weights. The performance of …
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Chapter 1: Introduction -- Chapter 2: Key Concepts: A Series of Primers -- Chapter 3: Why is the World Always Changing? -- Chapter 4: Making Trends and Breaks Work for us -- Chapter 5: Indicator Saturation Methods -- Chapter 6: Combining Theory and Data -- Chapter 7: Seeing into the Future --...
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