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Structural changes are quite common in macroeconomic time series. Moreover, any underlying macroeconomic relationship cannot be correctly specified unless we know the true model. Structural changes in time series and misspecification in empirical model are observed as shifts in the constant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040055
A structural break is viewed as a permanent change in the parameter vector of a model. Using taxonomies of all sources of forecast errors for both conditional mean and conditional variance processes, we consider the impacts of breaks and their relevance in forecasting models: (a) where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023694
This paper extends previous studies in modeling and estimating energy demand functions for both gasoline and kerosene petroleum products for Nigeria from 1977 to 2008. In contrast to earlier studies on Nigeria and other developing countries, this study specifically tests for the possibility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289392
In this article we present evidence of the long-run effect of trade openness on income per worker for two regions that have followed different liberalization strategies, namely Asia and Latin America. A model that re-examines these questions is estimated for two panels of Asian and Latin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009789427
This paper mainly studies the effect of deregulation on prices and quantity. For this aim, we employ cointegration methodology with structural breaks to empirically investigate the simultaneous relationship between deregulation, ticket prices, and the number of passengers in the Turkish airline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389427
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715968
This study investigates changes in the relationship between oil prices and the US economy from a long-term perspective. Although neither of the two series (oil price and GDP growth rates) presents structural breaks in mean, we identify different volatility periods in both of them, separately....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649469
This study reconsiders the common unit root/co-integration approach to test for the Fisher effect for the economies of the G7 countries. We first show that nominal interest and inflation rates are better represented as I(0) variables. Later, we use the Bai–Perron procedure to show the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654168
In this paper, the authors set out to date-stamp periods of US housing price explosivity for the period 1830-2013. They make use of several robust techniques that allow them to identify such periods by determining when prices start to exhibit explosivity with respect to its past behaviour and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674010
In this paper the authors set out to date-stamp periods of US housing price explosivity for the period 1830–2013. They make use of several robust techniques that allow them to identify such periods by determining when prices start to exhibit explosivity with respect to its past behaviour and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812671