Showing 1 - 10 of 15,789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418589
Contrary to the common wisdom that asset prices are barely possible to forecast, we show that that high and low prices of equity shares are largely predictable. We propose to model them using a simple implementation of a fractional vector autoregressive model with error correction (FVECM). This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407671
A portfolio of commodity index-ETF pairs was constructed and its performance was compared against the Bloomberg commodity index. The portfolio was trained on data from 2011 to 2014 to determine the optimal parameters for trade-execution thresholds. Using these parameters and the optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859340
(CVAR) with general cointegration rank. Our hedge is optimal in the sense of minimum variance portfolio.We consider a model … correlation and cointegration parameters. For short holding periods the correlation impact is predominant. For long horizons, the … hedge ratio should overweight the cointegration parameters rather then short-run correlation information. In the infinite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045676
employed in this study to construct globally invested portfolios is based on cointegration analysis. The forecast period covers … 11 years. All constructed portfolios show a strong cointegration relationship with the benchmark in the back … ; cointegration ; portfolio optimization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009539880
multi-period, cointegration-based hedging method that estimates the holdings that are most likely to deliver a hedging error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067582
given by a co-integration factor. We analyze the optimal investment strategy for an agent who maximizes expected utility of … be affine in the co-integration factor. We calibrate the model to three assets traded on the Nasdaq exchange (Google …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004099
cointegration models. Empirical identification of cointegration effects is generally made according to discrete-time error … dynamic portfolio problem under a class of path-dependent models embracing path-dependent cointegration models in continuous … process satisfies cointegration conditions, our results lead to the optimal dynamic pairs-trading rule. By contrasting our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251852
Cointegration analysis is an econometric tool used to identify equilibrium among assets and construct a pairs trading … portfolio. The discrete-time vector error correction model (VECM) for identifying cointegration includes lag difference terms as … trading strategy under such a delayed cointegration model. The existence and uniqueness results for the equilibrium are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406305
retaining the exponential affine structure of previous approaches, our model allows for an arbitrary number of cointegration … relationships. We show that the cointegration component allows capturing well-known features of commodity prices, i.e., upward … provide compelling evidence of cointegration in the data. Implications for the prices of futures and options written on common …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507774