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Data on rainfall patterns only weakly corroborate the claim that climate change explains the Darfur conflict that began … decline significantly in the years prior to the eruption of major conflict in 2003; rainfall exhibited a flat trend in the … thirty-years preceding the conflict (1972-2002). The rainfall evidence suggests instead a break around 1971. Rainfall is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217246
ways of extending the standard static economic model of conflict to study patterns of conflict dynamics. It turns out that … subject to this limitation. Plausible patterns of conflict dynamics emerge, which we can link to both historical conflict and …. In particular, we are unable to study dynamic military conflict as a series of “battles” that are resolved individually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239477
We introduce three variations of the Hirshleifer-Skaperdas conflict game to study experimentally the effects of post-conflict … altogether, often after substantial initial conflict. To attain peace, players must first engage in costly signaling by making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771751
Wars of conquest and wars of independence are characterized by an asymmetric payoff structure: one party gets aggregate production if it wins, and its own production if it loses, while the other party gets only its own production if it wins, and nothing if it loses. We study a model of war with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754525
We investigate situations in which players make costly contributions as group members in a group conflict, and at the … asymmetry and complementarity in members'efforts, and analyze how each group's internal conflict in-fluences its chance of … winning in the external conflict. We find that a more symmetric group may expend more effort in external conflict when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467392
nations, as in a strategic game of international conflict handing over military spending decisions to citizens who face a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452800
players in the laboratory to examine the dynamics of alliance formation and conflict evolution. A peaceful equilibrium yields …-makers form, and what determines whether a conflict will arise? We study a network formation game between ex-ante symmetric … randomly re-matched experimental groups, based on the cost of attack. We further examine the dynamics leading to the final …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603859
advantage in the final stage. We examine such momentum in conflict scenarios and investigate how valuable it must be to avoid a …, rent dissipation in the two-stage conflict is equal across party whether or not an individual obtains first-stage momentum … as useful conflict benchmarks, they dissipate additional expected contest rents. This additional rent-dissipative toll …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171901
States, in their conflicts with militant groups embedded in civilian populations, often resort to policies of collective punishment to erode civilian support for the militants. We attempt to evaluate the efficacy of such policies in the context of the Gaza Strip, where Israel's blockade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648941
Despite informality being the norm in conflict-affected countries, most estimates of the impact of conflict on economic … activity rely on formal sector data. Using high-frequency data from Afghanistan, this paper assesses how surges in conflict … and the period of reference is 2012-2016. The results show that an increase in conflict-related casualties has a strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696745