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In the early 2000s, the Colombian government aired messages during games of the national football team, urging FARC rebels to demobilize. We first study the strategy's effectiveness, leveraging game dates, kick-off times, and spatial-temporal variation in rain-induced signal strength in a...
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States, in their conflicts with militant groups embedded in civilian populations, often resort to policies of collective punishment to erode civilian support for the militants. We attempt to evaluate the efficacy of such policies in the context of the Gaza Strip, where Israel's blockade and...
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in Angola from early 1998 to date, during and in the immediate aftermath of the recent conflict. Angola has suffered from …, the conflict developed its own self sustaining dynamic in the 1990s fuelled by revenue from oil and diamonds. The impact … insurgency activities fuelled forced displacement and created one of the largest humanitarian crises of the 1990s. The …
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Wars of conquest and wars of independence are characterized by an asymmetric payoff structure: one party gets aggregate production if it wins, and its own production if it loses, while the other party gets only its own production if it wins, and nothing if it loses. We study a model of war with...
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between extreme temperature days and conflict. We show that the occurrence of conflict events increases with extreme maximum … temperature days, whereas days with extreme minimum temperature decrease the occurrence of conflict. Because climate change makes … conflict, actors involved and population affected, indicating complex distributional consequences. …
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