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This paper uses a FAVAR model with stochastic volatility to estimate the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income growth in US states. The results suggest that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the magnitude and the persistence of the response to uncertainty shocks across states....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448758
This paper carries out a systematic investigation into the possibility of structural shifts in the UK economy using a Markov-switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We find strong evidence for shifts in the structural parameters of several equations of the DSGE model. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003989518
This paper carries out a systematic investigation into the possibility of structural shifts in the UK economy using a Markov-switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We find strong evidence for shifts in the structural parameters of several equations of the DSGE model. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139868
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013281318
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how changes in the distribution of pre retirement labour earnings affect post-retirement income in the UK. Design/methodology/approach – The authors estimate a PROBIT model and perform a counterfactual simulation to assess the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010684925
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how changes in the distribution of pre retirement labour earnings affect post‐retirement income in the UK. Design/methodology/approach – The authors estimate a PROBIT model and perform a counterfactual simulation to assess the effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014863365
Changes in monetary policy and shifts in dynamics of the macroeconomy are typically described using empirical models that only include a limited amount of information. Examples of such models include time-varying vector autoregressions that are estimated using output growth, inflation and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951113
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009375419
In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018). The model is re-written so that some of the Metropolis Hastings steps are avoided.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243290