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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009713092
We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and newsdriven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003629773
We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and newsdriven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132437
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001115724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710533
Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744711
We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely … reached for the United States, the ProbVAR forecasts are slightly worse for Germany, but considerably inferior for Japan. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605301
We analyse corporate balance sheet adjustment episodes in Germany and Japan, as well as a sample of 30 countries, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317316
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000146755