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This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive was in place in the U.S. Great Depression and the recent Great Recession. We find clear evidence in favor of a breakdown of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in...
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Differences across countries or decades in the countercyclical stance of fiscal policy can help identify whether the growth in government spending affects output growth and so speeds recovery from a recession. We use the heterogeneity in the government-spending reaction functions across twenty...
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This paper traces the evolution of John Maynard Keynes's theory of the business cycle from his early writings in 1913 …
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Keynesian theory suggests that a reduction in government expenditure has a negative effect on private demand and … therefore on output. Contrary, neoclassical theory argues that reduced public expenditure makes room for an expansion of the … variable reflecting the sustainability of the debt path, as theory suggests. We find that the deficit influences the transition …
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Recently, some have wondered whether a fiscal stimulus plan could reduce the government's budget deficit. Many also worry that fiscal austerity plans will only bring higher deficits. Issues of this kind involve endogenous changes in tax revenues that occur when output, real wages, and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009534182
This paper presents an overview of different models which explain financial crises, with the aim of understanding economic developments during and possibly after the Great Recession. In the first part approaches based on efficient markets and rational expectations hypotheses are analyzed, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491508