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times more than real GDP in the U.S. and Mexico, and by a factor of five in Canada. The decline in trade and output was … benchmark calibration can account for 72% of the fall in output in Canada, 19% of the fall in output in Mexico, and about two …
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from those in developed countries. Using data from Mexico and Canada, this paper decomposes these differences in terms of …
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, our estimation for Mexico and Canada suggests more severe informational frictions in emerging markets than in developed … transitory components of TFP shocks and learn about those components using the Kalman filter. Calibrated to Mexico, the model …
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Predicting cycles in economic activity is one of the more challenging but important aspects of economic forecasting. This paper reports the results from estimation of binary probit models that predict the probability of an economy being in a recession using a variety of financial and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724619
-analysis techniques, we summarise the results for five Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) that use … without making strong assumptions. Results from another three countries (Canada, Chile and the United States) corroborate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956519