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Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908
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Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003851191
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A bivariate autoregressive probit model : predicting US business cycle and growth rate cycle recessions
Nyberg, Henri - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003884515
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Real-time detection of the business cycle using SETAR models
Ferrara, Laurent; Guégan, Dominique - In: Growth and cycle in the Euro-zone, (pp. 221-232). 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003412187
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Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003978514
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Forecasting with VAR models : fat tails and stochastic volatility
Chiu, Ching Wai Jeremy; Mumtaz, Haroon; Pinter, Gabor - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312174
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Forecasting GDP growth using mixed-frequency models with switching regimes
Barsoum, Fady; Stankiewicz, Sandra - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 33-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327124
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A Markov switching three regime model of Tunisian business cycle
Medhioub, Imed - In: Asian African journal of economics and econometrics 13 (2013) 2, pp. 237-251
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010353706
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Detecting and predicting economic accelerations, recessions, and normal growth periods in real-time
Proaño Acosta, Christian - 2013
The dichotomous characterization of the business cycle in recessions and expansions has been central in the literature over the last fifty years. However, there are various reasons to question the adequacy of this dichotomous approach for our understanding of business cycle dynamics, as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240802
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Modeling Australian business cycle with latent information Markov switching model
Chen, Shyh-wei; Chin, Chun-tsung - In: The empirical economics letters : a monthly … 12 (2013) 1, pp. 75-82
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257988