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can decelerate growth in the absence of any level shocks. In contrast to level risk, which is always welfare reducing for … a risk-averse household, volatility risk can increase or decrease welfare, depending on model parameters. When … calibrated to U.S. data, the model finds that the welfare cost of volatility risk is largely negligible under plausible model …
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This article investigates the business cycle behaviour of measures of perceived uncertainty and financial risk premia … in Germany over the past two decades. Both the perceived uncertainty and the financial risk premia are highly … shocks have a significantly small but temporary effect on output and financial risk premia and their overall contribution to …
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Uncertainty faced by individual firms appears to be heterogeneous. In this paper, I construct new empirical measures of firm-level uncertainty using data from the I/B/E/S and Compustat. These new measures reveal persistent differences in the degree of uncertainty facing individual firms not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401309
This paper presents a discussion of the forces at play behind the economic fluctuations in the medium run and their relation with the short-run macroeconomic equilibrium. The business cycle is the result of two separate phenomena. On the one hand, there is the instability caused by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009773474
We extend the Carlstrom and Fuerst (1997) agency cost model of business cycles by including time varying uncertainty in the technology shocks that affect capital production. We first demonstrate that standard linearization methods can be used to solve the model yet second moment effects still...
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