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Japan's deflation : the role of wage costs
Urasawa, Satoshi - In: Applied economics letters 21 (2014) 10/12, pp. 742-746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416317
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Was the recent downturn in US GDP predictable?
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Majumdar, Anandamayee; … - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725427
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Dating NBER Recessions with Philadelphia Fed U.S. Coincident Economic Indices (Harmonized GDP Approach)
van Vuuren, Dwaine - 2011
We extend the work done in our “Redux” paper from Oct 2011 to find a weighted composite U.S coincident economic index (CEI) that includes non-zero weightings from all 50 states and when used in a standard Probit model, produces a perfect correlation (R2 of 1) to NBER recession dating. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118636
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Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the US
Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Poon, Aubrey - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822269
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Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?
Balcilar, Mehmet - 2015
This paper uses small set of variables-- real GDP, the inflation rate, and the short-term interest rate -- and a rich …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036275
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Real-time US GDP gap properties using Hamilton’s regression-based filter
Jönsson, Kristian - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 59 (2020) 1, pp. 307-314
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253213
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Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC's minutes around the financial crisis
Ericsson, Neil R. - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 571-583
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597221
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Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP : evidence from the United States
Moramarco, Graziano - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 2, pp. 777-795
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547205
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Aggregate financial misreporting and the predictability of U.S. recessions and GDP growth
Beneish, Messod D.; Farber, David B.; Glendening, Matthew; … - In: The accounting review : a publication of the American … 98 (2023) 5, pp. 129-159
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374965
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Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the United States
Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Poon, Aubrey - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 41 (2023) 2, pp. 563-577
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448358