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first few quarters. This combination resulted in a major increase of imports from the main trading partners of West Germany … in other countries leading to a feedback on Germany. The paper provides a short overview over the basic model. The … modelling approach and estimation results for the trade submodels are presented in some detail and simmulation results for the …
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cycle in France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and the United States, using two complementary approaches in our …
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