The expansion of Western European production accelerated in the first half of 1997. Exports were the main engine, driven by a devaluation of European currencies and strong growth abroad. Domestic demand also picked up somewhat led by investment in machinery and equipment. Inflation remained at...

We use a Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR with stochastic volatility for GDP deflator inflation, real GDP growth, a 3-month nominal rate, and the rate of growth of M4 to investigate the underlying causes of the Great Moderation in the United Kingdom. Our evidence points towards a...

Die britische Wirtschaft hat die weltwirtschaftliche Schwächephase relativ gut durchgestanden, das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt erhöhte sich 2002 um 1,8%. Die Arbeitslosenquote ist mit 5,1% im Jahresdurchschnitt gegenüber 2001 nur gering gestiegen. 2003 dürfte das reale BIP um 1¾%...