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European economic outlook: general report presented at the AIECE meeting in Paris, May 9 - 11, 2001
Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kamps, Christophe; Scheide, Joachim - 2001
In the spring 2001, the world economy is in a delicate situation. The vigorous growth momentum that prevailed in the recovery in 1999 and into 2000 is clearly gone. In the second half of 2000, global growth decelerated rapidly. In contrast to the last downturn of the world economy in 1997/98,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295047
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Upswing in Europe gains momentum, but unemployment remains high
Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Scheide, Joachim; Schlie, Markus - 1997
The expansion of Western European production accelerated in the first half of 1997. Exports were the main engine, driven by a devaluation of European currencies and strong growth abroad. Domestic demand also picked up somewhat led by investment in machinery and equipment. Inflation remained at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295104
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Shocks and Frictions under Right-to-Manage Wage Bargaining: A Transatlantic Perspective
Consolo, Agostino; Hertweck, Matthias S. - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390646
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Die japanischen Lehren für die europäische Krise
Schnabl, Gunther - 2012
Japan hat nicht nur 15 Jahre vor Europa einen Boom-und-Krisen-Zyklus durchschritten, sondern auch wichtige Erfahrungen … vergleicht die Boom-und- Krisen-Zyklen in Japan und Europa hinsichtlich der Ursachen, des Krisenverlaufs, der Krisentherapien und … Einkommensverluste abgeleitet. Die wirtschaftspolitische Implikation für Europa und Japan ist der konsequente Ausstieg aus der expansiven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334514
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Falls das Brexit-Abkommen scheitert: Wie teuer harter Brexit und Verschiebung wären
Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Gebauer, Stefan; Schlaak, Thore - 2019
anhaltende Unsicherheit belastet die deutsche Konjunktur: Berechnungen des DIW Berlin zeigen, dass das Wirtschaftswachstum in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112972
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Term structure and cyclicity of value-at-risk: consequences for the solvency capital requirement
Bec, Frédérique; Gollier, Christian - 2009
This paper explores empirically the link between French equities returns Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the state of financial markets cycle. The econometric analysis is based on a simple vector autoregression setup. Using quarterly data from 1970Q4 to 2008Q3, it turns out that the k-year VaR of French...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264597
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The effect of financial structure on crises: universal banking in interwar Europe
Adalet, Müge - 2009
This paper examines the link between banking structure and financial fragility across Europe during the 1920s and 1930s using a new database. Monthly and annual data are analyzed to show that countries with universal banking were more likely to experience crises. Furthermore, those countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273665
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Europe's great depression: Coordination failure after the first World War
Wolf, Nikolaus - 2010
In this paper I survey and reinterpret the extensive literature on Europe's Great Depression. I argue that Europe could not exploit her vast economic potential after 1918, because the war had not yet come to an end - indeed it did not end before 1945. Both, domestic and international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274942
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The role of income support systems as income stabilizers in times of crisis
Dolls, Mathias; Lay, Max - 2023
This Policy Brief examines how minimum income support (MIS) schemes contribute to the stabilization of disposable incomes in times of crisis in Europe. MIS systems act as a "safety net of last resort" in many European welfare states, but to varying degrees. The results from the simulation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311423
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Can Europe recover without credit?
Darvas, Zsolt - 2013
Data from 135 countries covering five decades suggests that creditless recoveries, in which the stock of real credit does not return to the pre-crisis level for three years after the GDP trough, are not rare and are characterised by remarkable real GDP growth rates: 4.7 percent per year in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494539