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Consumer confidence or the business cycle : what matters more for European expected returns?
Møller, Stig Vinther; Nørholm, Henrik; Rangvid, Jesper - In: Journal of empirical finance 28 (2014), pp. 230-248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285064
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The Declining Asset Return Predictability and Macroeconomic Volatility
Hsu, Alex - 2017
We document strong U.S. stock and bond return predictability from several macroeconomic volatility series before 1982 … incorporating monetary policy and shocks with time-varying volatility. The predictability decline is consistent with changes in both … volatility, more persistent shocks with reduced volatility explain the lower predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968288
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Equity Return Predictability, Time Varying Volatility and Learning About the Permanence of Shocks
Tortorice, Daniel L. - 2014
volatility over the benchmark rational expectations case and exactly matches the standard deviation of consumption. Finally, the … model generates time varying volatility consistent with the data on quarterly equity returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054127
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The volatility connectedness between oil and stocks : evidence from the G7 markets
BenMabrouk, Houda - In: Financial Market Dynamics after COVID 19 : The …, (pp. 67-99). 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198542
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Macro risks and the term structure of interest rates
Bekaert, Geert; Engstrom, Eric; Ermolov, Andrey - In: Journal of financial economics 141 (2021) 2, pp. 479-504
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259807
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Why does return predictability concentrate in bad times?
Cujean, Julien; Hasler, Michael - 2017
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
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Bond return predictability : economic value and links to the macroeconomy
Gargano, Antonio; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 65 (2019) 2, pp. 508-540
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000665
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Forecasting stock market volatility : the role of technical variables
Liu, Li; Pan, Zhiyuan - In: Economic modelling 84 (2020), pp. 55-65
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012210290
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Implied volatility and the cross section of stock returns in the UK
Poshakwale, Sunil S.; Chandorkar, Pankaj; Agarwal, Vineet - In: Research in international business and finance 48 (2019), pp. 271-286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135913
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Why does return predictability concentrate in bad times?
Cujean, Julien; Hasler, Michael - In: The journal of finance : the journal of the American … 72 (2017) 6, pp. 2717-2758
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160151