Viele Fragen rund um den Brexit sind weiterhin offen. Es kann nicht ausgeschlossen werden, dass sich Großbritannien und die Europäische Union nicht auf einen Austrittsvertrag einigen können. Dann könnte es zu einem sogenannten harten Brexit (No-Deal Brexit) kommen. Wir haben die...

The Great Recession has inspired renewed interest in analyzing the behaviour of the economy during recession episodes, and how these temporary events can shape the productive structure of the economy for long periods. Most of the existing literature focuses on recessions at the aggregate level....

I investigate the effect of industries and countries position in global value chains on the transmission of final demand shocks and the cyclicality and volatility of trade. Relying on a production network model with propagation via procyclical inventory adjustment, I show how shocks can magnify...

The system of national accounts provides data for economic analysis, especially analysis of business cycle. While properties of time series are continually under discussion, much less formation and predicative ability of the aggregates. Aim of this paper is to contribute to activation of this...