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Tourism forecasting performance considering the instability of demand elasticities

Smeral, Egon - In: Journal of travel research : a quarterly publication of … 56 (2017) 7, pp. 913-926

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731312

Effects of multiple financial news shocks on tourism demand volatility modelling and forecasting

Zhang, Yuruixian; Choo, Wei Chong; Yuhanis Abdul Aziz; … - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 7, pp. 1-47

economics and financial markets, the effects of combining multiple news shocks on the volatility of tourism demand have not yet … GJRGARCH-FFNSs model is the best model for Malaysian tourism demand volatility forecasting accuracy. Furthermore, KLCI and Gold … asymmetry impacts on tourism demand volatility. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369139

Bond risk premia forecasting : a simple approach for extracting macroeconomic information from a panel of indicators

Audrino, Francesco; Corsi, Fulvio; Filipova, Kameliya - In: Econometric reviews 35 (2016) 1/4, pp. 232-256

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549916

Business forecasting and economic cycles

Karsten, Siegfried G.; Karsten, S. G. - 1990

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519626

Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015

Using real-time data, we analyze how the systematic expectation errors of professional forecasters in 19 advanced economies depend on the state of the business cycle. Our results indicate that the general result that forecasters systematically overestimate output growth (across all countries)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869