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What are the macroeconomic consequences of changing aggregate lending standards in residential mortgage markets, as measured by loan-to-value (LTV) ratios? In a structural VAR, GDP and business investment increase following an expansionary LTV shock. Residential investment, by contrast, falls, a...
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Chapter 1: Introduction -- Part I: Inside Property Market Cycle -- Chapter 2: Property Market Cycle -- Chapter 3: On the Essence of property cycles -- Chapter 4: Addressing Cyclicality Through International Financial Standards -- Chapter 5: Dealing with Cyclical Assets -- Chapter 6: The Logic of...
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How much of the historical 7%/year equity premium could have been risk compensation for disasters that just happened not to have occurred? The answer can be found in below-the-money put prices which would have protected against them. A premium beyond 2%/year (for rolling one-month-ahead...
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