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Since the end of the Great Recession in mid-2009, the unemployment rate has recovered slowly, falling by only one percentage point from its peak. We find that the lackluster labor market recovery can be traced in large part to weakness in aggregate demand; only a small part seems attributable to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326190
Using a Cox proportional hazard model that allows for a flexible time dependence in order to incorporate business cycle effects, we analyze the determinants of reemployment probabilities of young workers in the U.S. from 1978-1989. We find considerable changes in the chances of young workers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268048
Using a Cox proportional hazard model that allows for a flexible time dependence in order to incorporate business cycle effects, we analyze the determinants of reemployment probabilities of young workers in the U.S. from 1978-1989. We find considerable changes in the chances of young workers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003333111
This article analyses the relevance of the extensive and the intensive margin of labour adjustment over the business cycle in Germany and in the United States. Previous research has found that, firstly, the extensive margin dominates and that, secondly, the relative relevance of the two margins...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433362
This paper documents the uneven impacts of technological change and trade on labor markets in advanced economies. Over the past 20 years, these trends have lifted living standards in emerging markets and developing economies and everywhere. In advanced economies, technological innovation and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113153
Over the last three decades, Canada has experienced three recessions: one that started during the early 1980s; a second that began during the early 1990s; and the most recent one, which led to employment declines starting in October 2008. For each recession, this study: a) examines which workers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119868
Access to revolving credit more than doubled between 1983 and 1992 among both employed and unemployed households, and new evidence suggests that close to 20% of unemployed households use revolving credit to replace lost income. Labor markets have also experienced sluggish recoveries following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085181
New business creation declined an unprecedented amount during the Great Recession. I argue that financial constraints led to a contraction in young, small firms, which contributed greatly to the slow recovery. Using confidential firm-level data of the universe of firms and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007834
The 2007-2009 recession is characterized by: a large drop in employment, an unprecedented decline in firm entry, and a slow recovery. Using confidential firm-level data, I show that financial constraints reduced employment growth in small relative to large firms by 4.8 to 10.5 percentage points....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049182
An empirical regularity in the US business cycles is that in recessions men's unemployment rate rises faster than women. This stylized-fact raises both empirical and theoretical questions. The notion of such distinctive pattern in the data is addressed with another regularity through an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231493