Showing 1 - 10 of 2,517
This paper examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in two leading transitioneconomy candidates for admission to the European Union (EU), Poland and Hungary. Using a rational expectations, dynamic open economy aggregate supply- aggregate demand model, we consider real oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301247
This paper examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in two leading transitioneconomy candidates for admission to the European Union (EU), Poland and Hungary. Using a rational expectations, dynamic open economy aggregate supply- aggregate demand model, we consider real oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518135
This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579627
This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119071
We provide empirical evidence on the impact of oil supply shocks on global aggregates. To do this, we first extract structural oil supply shocks from a standard oil-price determination model found in the literature. Impulse response functions are then estimated using local projections. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052956
This study examines the long-run relationships between major precious metal prices over the last forty years. Using a vector error correction model, we find that weekly futures log prices of gold and silver, and gold and platinum appear to be cointegrated. The results show that the cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981445
Although the inflation rates have been low in recent years, the uncertainties that put downward pressure on inflation remain the key uncertainties that economies around the world are facing, and they could be unexpectedly persistent. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249492
This paper examines the relationship between volatility shocks and preference shocks in an analytically tractable … endogenous growth model with recursive preferences and stochastic volatility. I show that there exists an explicit mapping … between volatility shocks and preference shocks, and a rise in volatility generates the same impulse responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539713
the crisis-affected economies in East Asia. Using the Hodrick-Prescott filter, this paper examines the growth volatility … and Hong Kong SAR. Empirical evidences based on quarterly data show that output volatility for both Singapore and South … Korea has increased after the AFC. For the GDP components, trade is a major factor in lowering GDP volatility in Chinese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116757
-cyclicity, stock price volatility is believed to demonstrate with respect to the state of the economy. It further tests whether such … interdependence is exploitable for volatility forecasting. The sound contribution of this paper is the extension of the in-sample to … ability of an GJR-GARCH-Model, of the implied and historical volatility, the prediction power of macroeconomic and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125603