Showing 1 - 10 of 518
This paper re-examines Lilien's sectoral shifts hypothesis for U.S. unemployment. We employ a monthly panel that spans from 1990:01 to 2011:12 for 48 U.S. states. Panel unit root tests that allow for crosssectional dependence reveal the stationarity of unemployment. Within a framework that takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730867
We construct a new Markov-switching unobserved components framework for the analysis of hysteresis effects. Our model … in German unemployment is fully explained by hysteresis. The Great Recession was well absorbed because both hysteresis … not evolve according to hysteresis, not even during the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372431
The US economy has endured an exceptionally severe recession caused by the measures put in place to contain the spread of COVID-19. This occasional paper assesses the impact of this crisis on key labour market variables, such as (un-) employment, wages and productivity, and highlights the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264673
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010329115
This paper addresses two issues of great importance in the current economic climate. First, it analyses the extent to which unemployment experiences have a scarring effect on British men during the Great Recession. Second, it provides an insight into the relation between true state dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504570
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073937
This paper explores the mean-reverting behavior of the unemployment rate using monthly geographically disaggregated data for the period 1991:01 through 2012:02. We apply both standard unit-root tests and tests that allow for one and two structural breaks in the mean. We find evidence that favors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857002
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061955
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546624