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linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … properties of interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263206
Inflation (1948:I-1979:II) to the Great Moderation (1984:I-2006:II). Reminiscent of the evidence in Shapiro and Watson (1988 … policy and smaller shocks explain almost evenly the large decline of the variability in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723708
We propose a simple, model-free way to measure price selection and its impact on inflation. Price selection exists when … selection, increases (decreases) in inflation can be amplified because adjusting prices tend to originate from levels far below … for around 36% of inflation variance in the United Kingdom and the United States, and 28% in Canada. Price selection is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897724
Macroeconomists have traditionally ignored the behavior of temporary price markdowns ("sales") by retailers. Although sales are common in the micro price data, they are assumed to be unrelated to macroeconomic phenomena and generally filtered out. We challenge this view. First, using the 1996 -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418254
This paper shows how endogeneous inflation inertia is generated by a simple modificaton of the quadratic adjustment … cost structure faced by economic agents. We derive the pertinent inflation relationships based on purely nominal rigidities … replicate empirical responses to an interest rate shock. -- Inflation Dynamics ; New Keynesian Phillips Curve; Business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952510
result is that the model is able to generate persistent responses in output, inflation, and total labor input to both neutral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008662486
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … significantly lower elasticity of marginal costs with respect to output. This helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the … inflation relies on its ability to explain the dynamics of the labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319481
We show that the extent of risk-sharing among heterogeneous workers is adeterminant of the degree of monetary non-neutrality in a multisector sticky-price model. Workers are employed in different sectors of the economy and, as a consequence, earn different wages. The inability of workers to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194728
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082956
-kinked demand schedule for goods produced by firms. Our model can jointly account for the modest decline in inflation during the … Great Recession and the surge in inflation post-COVID-19. Because our model implies a stronger transmission of shocks when … inflation is high, it generates conditional heteroskedasticity in inflation and inflation risk. Hence, our model can generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013466150