below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …

and inflation. Simultaneous monetary policy and macroprudential policy shocks do not alter the reaction of inflation … die Auswirkungen von monetären Schocks auf die Volatilität der Finanzvariablen, nicht aber der Produktion und Inflation …. Gleichzeitige geldpolitische und makroprudenzielle Schocks verändern die Reaktion der Inflation im Vergleich zu einem …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …

appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but inflation dropped only when fiscal policy … accommodated this change two years later. In fact, a disinflationary attempt of the monetary authority leads to more inflation if … been confident about the switch, the Great Inflation would not have occurred and debt would have been higher. This is …

This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …

estimate Ex-Ante Real interest Rates (EARRs) and Inflation Expectations (IEs) based on Japanese macroeconomic data. In our … sudden increase of an IE after March, 2013, which is consistent with the actual core inflation. Second, estimating dummy …