’ transition rates from unemployment to employment.Based on Norwegian register data from the 1989-2002 period, we show that this … indicator,in contrast to the aggregate rate of unemployment, correlates well with an expost-calculated GDP-based business cycle … unemployment rate, both at an aggregate and a disaggregate level, and hence improve policy makers ability to assess current labour …

The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …