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risk of statistical artifacts to arise: it is known that summation operators and filtering yield a red noise alike spectral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437990
It is sometimes pointed out that economic research is prone to move in cycles and react to particular events such as crises and recessions. The present paper analyses this issue through a quantitative analysis by answering two closely related research questions: (1) whether or not there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011290720
This paper empirically investigates and theoretically reflects on the generality of the "stylized facts" discussed in business cycle analysis. Using OECD data for 1960 - 2010, the duration of business cycles as well as three models capturing core macroeconomic relations are estimated: based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011290723
early warning indicator of the banking crisis in Spain. Finally, an exogenous deviation of actual loan loss provisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955386
This paper focuses on business cycle synchronisation between Regional Economic Communities in Africa during the period 1980Q1-2016Q4. We consider a time series clustering analysis to evaluate whether the Regional Economic Communities (RECs) have similar patterns in business cycle comovements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930232
This paper studies the probability of filling a vacancy, how it varies with the number of unemployed and number of vacancies in the local labor market, and what impact it has on employment. A greater availability of unemployed workers should make it easier for a firm to fill a vacancy but more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009656972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715907
The recent rise in populist governments has led to much work on the question "why now?". Our work takes the next logical step by asking "what next?". That is, given populists in power, what should we expect to be the economic consequences of populist regimes. To answer this, we characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118535
Using recent advances in time-varying spectral methods, this research analyses the growth cycles of the core of the euro area in terms of frequency content and phasing of cycles. The methodology uses the continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and also Hilbert wavelet pairs in the setting of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223612
such as the extent of trade and the gains in credibility may point in a different direction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071708