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We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987786
The authors analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, they analyze the dynamics of co-movement and compare recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992406
that the Swiss franc serves as a funding currency. Therefore, we focus on carry trades based on the currency pairs US … dollar/Swiss franc and euro/Swiss franc. Generalized impulse responses differ in magnitude and significance between periods … productivity, including a newly constructed database on total factor productivity. Overall, our DOLS estimation results do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009562271
We investigate the importance of a global financial cycle for gross capital inflows based on monthly balance sheet data for Norwegian banks. The VIX index has been interpreted as an "investor fear gauge" and associated with a global financial cycle. This index has also been found to impact real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926821
With the aim to provide a detailed understanding of global financial cycles and their relevance over time, we analyse co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and interest rates across 17 advanced economies over 130 years. Using a time-varying dynamic factor model, we observe global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832636
During the last two decades, the degree of openness of national financial systems has increased substantially. At the same time, asymmetries in information and other financial market frictions have remain prevalent. We study both empirically and theoretically the implications of the opening up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072512
insignificant effect on foreign currency corporate debt, after controlling for the global financial cycle. We find that both … institute more stringent policy actions such as macroprudential policies, selective capital controls and floating currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313522
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using a unique intraday dataset, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, commodity prices, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839136
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350777