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The purpose of this paper is to examine the effectiveness of the policies and procedures towards economic convergence between the countries that participated in the European Exchange Mechanism I and which are now members states of the Eurozone. The question posed is whether the introduction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107833
In this paper, we investigate the forecasting ability of the yield curve in terms of the U.S. real GDP cycle. More specifically, within a Machine Learning (ML) framework, we use data from a variety of short (treasury bills) and long term interest rates (bonds) for the period from 1976:Q3 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905030
This survey provides an up-to-date summary of the literature that relates to the study of business cycle synchronization. Various paths have been followed through time in empirically testing business cycle co-movement and different data sets have been explored so that to date consensus still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010809
This paper examines the co-movement patterns of European business cycles during the period 1986-2011, having as a focal point the year of the euro coin introduction, in 1999. We work within a Graph Theory context and apply a rolling window to study the evolution of the network that corresponds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059938