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In the wake of the financial crisis, policymakers expressed the concern that banks’ use of the incurred loss model exacerbates their lending procyclicality by delaying the recognition of loan losses to recessions. Responding to this concern, the FASB issued Accounting Standards Update 2016-13,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406519
“structure” imposed through recessionary-failure-probability estimation. The “agnostic” return predictor that relies only on past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524470
Several studies have addressed, with conflicting results, the issue of procyclical effects of loan loss provisions in the past. More recently, the weak performance of incurred loss models in the financial crisis has given rise to a new debate on the sound design of credit risk provisioning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465580
This study examines the effects of the economic cycle on the properties of management earnings forecasts. Using management forecast data from First Call and the NBER business cycle measure, we document that economic recession is positively associated with forecast frequency and forecast error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073585
This paper empirically examine whether the way African banks use loan loss provisions to smooth earnings is influenced by capital market motivations and the type of auditor after controlling for non-discretionary determinants of loan loss provisions and fluctuations in the business cycle. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960199
I provide evidence that loan loss accounting affects procyclical lending through its impact on regulatory actions. Regulators are more likely to place banks with inadequate loan loss allowances under enforcement actions that restrict lending, leading these banks to lend less during downturns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903184
Being able to separate temporary global macroeconomic influences – caused by fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates and inflation – from intrinsic performance – related to a superior product, production process or management – is crucial to assessing the development of a firm's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906895
We examine the determinants of the use of loan loss provisions to smooth income by banks in South Africa. More specifically, we examine the influence of ownership, IFRS disclosure rules and economic fluctuation on the income smoothing behaviour of South African banks while controlling for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898274
Accounting rules mandate that the cost of debt should be recorded as an expense, while the cost of equity does not appear in the income statement. Therefore, the amount of financing expense, and thus net income, in the income statements depends on how firms finance their business. Based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935127
We use survey data to estimate the effect of the 2008–2009 recession on three fundamental bonus plan choices. We find robust evidence that the recession (i) reduced incentive strength, (ii) increased the relative incentive weight on financial performance measures, and (iii) increased the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866102