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This paper explores the impact of the exchange rate regime on inflation and output in the Central and Eastern European … exchange rate stability have a better explanatory power than the de jure measures in the inflation and growth equations. For … the whole observation period the estimations reveal a significant impact of exchange rate stability on low inflation as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402440
output gap, and inflation in Chile, Korea, Mexico, and Turkey, using a generalized vector autoregression analysis. Nominal … historical wage shocks are shown to have an important effect on movements in inflation only in Mexico. Generalized impulse … reduction in output. Inflation increases in all countries, particularly Mexico. A positive shock to nominal money growth raises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781571
inflation volatility.Also, causality tests results indicate that changes in the exchangerate, output gap volatility, and output … gap will have permanent andtemporary causal effects on inflation volatility. The policymakersshould carefully consider … these results to implement appropriatepolicies to reduce inflation volatility. The finding that the shocks areof temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312187
A two sector small open economy model developed by Corden (1991, 2002) is used to analyse the impact of sudden stops in capital inflows on an internal and external equilibrium and to explore the merits of disposing of the nominal exchange rate as policy tool in rectifying real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295480
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991348
This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European new Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of "emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072529
During the last two decades, the degree of openness of national financial systems has increased substantially. At the same time, asymmetries in information and other financial market frictions have remain prevalent. We study both empirically and theoretically the implications of the opening up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260621
We study what makes government bonds a safe asset. Building on a sample of monthly changes in government bond yields in 40 advanced and emerging countries, we analyse the sensitivity of yields to country specific fundamentals interacted with changes in global risk (VIX). We find that inertia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844631
Original sin is widely considered inevitable for emerging market economies on the ground that their currencies are not accepted as international currencies. Few, however, explore the effects of currency controls on original sin. To examine this possibility, I consider an open economy with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898664
This paper analyzes the effects of output volatility shocks and of risk appetite shocks on the dynamics of consumption, trade flows and the real exchange rate, in a two-country world with recursive preferences and complete financial markets. When the risk aversion coefficient exceeds the inverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970180