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explain how economies (mis)allocate resources during bubbles. A 15%-20% property price drop could cause recession, if China …
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fundamental cause of the unfolding financial and economic crisis: the accumulation of several bubbles and their interplay and …
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The main aim of this paper is to identify the underlying reasons for the cyclical nature of the Hungarian housing market, in particular the business cycles, the construction, and market participants' expectations. Our research was conducted based on analysis of statistical data and of the...
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This paper employs a calibrated model of the US economy to analyze the boom and bust in house prices as well as the shifts in the distribution of wealth during the years around the Great Recession. We replicate the dynamics of the housing market using shocks to aggregate income, the distribution...
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Zehn Jahre bevor die Rezession in den 1990er Jahren stattfand, sagte Fred Harrison sie bereits voraus. 2010 rechnet er nun ausgehend von einer erneuten Immobilienkrise mit einer weltweiten Wirtschaftsrezession.
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