Showing 1 - 10 of 6,262
Routine-biased technological change (RBTC), whereby routine-task jobs are replaced by machines and overseas labor, shifts demand towards high- and low-skill jobs, resulting in job polarization of the U.S. labor market. We test whether recessions accelerate this process. In doing so we establish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760041
Routine-biased technological change (RBTC), whereby routine-task jobs are replaced by machines and overseas labor, shifts demand towards high- and low-skill jobs, resulting in job polarization of the U.S. labor market. We test whether recessions accelerate this process. In doing so we establish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446551
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric--making unlicensed workers an illegal substitute for licensed workers but not the reverse. We test our hypothesis using a difference-in-differences event study research design...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
This paper quantifies how the welfare costs of the U.S. Great Recession are distributed across borrowing and saving U.S. households. For this purpose, we use a calibrated dynamic general equilibrium model of housing and household debt with shocks to aggregate income and shocks to the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007497
This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and … heterogeneity is similar for model and professional forecasts but varies substantially over time. Thus, forecast heterogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303756
This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and … heterogeneity is similar for model and professional forecasts but varies substantially over time. Thus, forecast heterogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973758
This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and … heterogeneity is similar for model and professional forecasts but varies substantially over time. Thus, forecast heterogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142142
This paper explores how much firm-paid employee benefits and firms' financial conditions have contributed to delayed employment recoveries relative to output since 1990, using a DSGE model. Empirically, I document the underexplored pro-cyclicality of per worker benefit costs. Post-1990 period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010227889
This paper explores how much firm-paid employee benefits and firms' financial conditions have contributed to delayed employment recoveries relative to output since 1990, using a DSGE model. Empirically, I document the underexplored pro-cyclicality of per worker benefit costs. Post-1990 period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071355
The decisions of firms on investment and hiring play a crucial role in business cycle fluctuations. This paper explores their dynamic behavior in the presence of frictions. It does so within a unified framework, stressing their mutual dependence and placing the emphasis on their joint,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287683